Alexander Krylov
vol. VI(1)
Pages 9-18
Abstract
In this article a situation on the territory of Karabakh conflict and
the positions of the conflicting parties are analyzed. These are
based on a “package approach” (Armenia) and “step by step
approach” (Azerbaijan). These approaches of the sides are at a
complete contradiction and are the main reason for the
ineffectiveness of the negotiations under the OSCE Minsk Group,
thus increasing the likelihood of a transition to a military-force
scenario to solve the problem. Russia's policy is seeking to prevent
a new war in Karabakh by maintaining a comparable militarypolitical
balance of power. In this situation, the main task of the
OSCE Minsk Group and Russian diplomacy is a creation of
effective mechanisms to prevent the resumption of hostilities.
International ceasefire monitoring will create conditions for the
activation of the negotiation process with the aim of achieving a
comprehensive settlement of the Karabakh conflict. In the
alternative the Karabakh problem will continue to be a source of
international tension.
Keywords:
The Karabakh problem, Azerbaijan, Armenia, NKR, Russian policy,
the OSCE Minsk Group, the CSTO, military-political balance
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